Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.003728 0.004077 0.004450 0.004880 0.005364 0.005892 0.006514
2025-11-23 0.003080 0.003557 0.004103 0.004780 0.005602 0.006575 0.007828
2025-11-30 0.002769 0.003317 0.003974 0.004831 0.005931 0.007314 0.009217
2025-12-07 0.002590 0.003196 0.003951 0.004977 0.006359 0.008190 0.010861
2025-12-14 0.002367 0.002989 0.003789 0.004912 0.006483 0.008656 0.011987
2025-12-21 0.002171 0.002795 0.003618 0.004808 0.006528 0.008999 0.012961
2025-12-28 0.002023 0.002651 0.003499 0.004756 0.006633 0.009426 0.014100
2026-01-04 0.001922 0.002562 0.003444 0.004788 0.006854 0.010040 0.015610
2026-01-11 0.001806 0.002441 0.003334 0.004724 0.006919 0.010410 0.016754
2026-01-18 0.001709 0.002341 0.003245 0.004682 0.007009 0.010823 0.018022
2026-01-25 0.001617 0.002242 0.003151 0.004623 0.007061 0.011173 0.019217
2026-02-01 0.001553 0.002179 0.003105 0.004634 0.007228 0.011733 0.020886
2026-02-08 0.001473 0.002091 0.003020 0.004584 0.007300 0.012157 0.022413
2026-02-15 0.001388 0.001993 0.002913 0.004490 0.007292 0.012438 0.023710
2026-02-22 0.001342 0.001951 0.002892 0.004538 0.007536 0.013224 0.026232
2026-03-01 0.001318 0.001941 0.002922 0.004673 0.007954 0.014402 0.029886
2026-03-08 0.001257 0.001869 0.002844 0.004613 0.007994 0.014816 0.031810
2026-03-15 0.001194 0.001789 0.002750 0.004516 0.007954 0.015056 0.033348
2026-03-22 0.001145 0.001730 0.002686 0.004469 0.008007 0.015500 0.035510
2026-03-29 0.001113 0.001697 0.002664 0.004498 0.008216 0.016318 0.038872
2026-04-05 0.001068 0.001641 0.002598 0.004439 0.008236 0.016705 0.041108
2026-04-12 0.001029 0.001593 0.002545 0.004401 0.008295 0.017190 0.043751
2026-04-19 0.000990 0.001543 0.002486 0.004345 0.008313 0.017578 0.046192